Caveat: Birthrates and Immigration

There are some direct relationships between birthrates and immigration rates. But it is also true that in economically prosperous countries where there are high levels of prosperity and education (which the US still is, despite recent downturns), immigration can be a substitute for lower birthrates to ensure continued growth. Setting aside sustainability issues (i.e. is growth even the right way to go, in the long, long run), and ethical issues (i.e. my long-declared position that immigration is, in fact, a human right) immigration still becomes a critical factor in determining an advanced economy's health.

Apparently the US birthrate has recently plunged. No one is sure what exactly is going on – it's tied to lower immigration rates (which in turn are tied to the poor economy and high unemployment), but there seem to be other things going on too. Ezra Klein at the Washington Post writes:

A key contradiction in American public opinion is that many people simultaneously think that immigration is bad for the economy (“they’re taking our jobs!”) and that a low birthrate is bad for the economy. But they basically lead to the same economic problem: too many old people, not enough young people.

This really does capture the cognitive dissonance behind anti-immigration thinking.

Caveat: 먼지가 되어

What I’m listening to right now.

picture정준영 & 로이킴,  “먼지가 되어” (originally by 김광석).
가사.

바하의 선율에 젖은 날이면
잊었던 기억들이 피어 나네요
바람에 날려간 나의 노래도
휘파람 소리로 돌아 오네요
내 조그만 공간 속에 추억만 쌓이고
까닭모를 눈물 만이 아른거리네
작은 가슴은 모두 모두워
시를 써봐도 모자란 당신
먼지가 되어 날아가야지
바람에 날려 당신 곁으로
작은 가슴을 모두 모두워
시를 써봐도 모자란 당신
먼지가 되어 날아가야지
바람에 날려 당신 곁으로


picture

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